Why Republicans likely won’t take back the House

President Donald Trump’s 2020 campaign has had impressive fundraising, but that does not mean Republicans will win enough down-ballot races to take back the House in November. Chris Cillizza explains why lack of opportunities and money will make it very hard for Republicans to take the House back from Democrats.

SOURCES AND FURTHER READING:
President Trump made 16,241 false or misleading claims in his first three years
.

Trump’s Campaign War Chest Tops $100 Million Heading Into Election Year
.

Trump campaign raises $46 million amid impeachment battle in the last quarter of 2019
.

Trump campaign says impeachment vote was a fundraising boon
.

House GOP leaders warn of fundraising crisis ahead of 2020
.

How Michael Bloomberg Used His Money to Aid Democratic Victories in the House
.

Nine months before Election Day, three dozen House members heading for the exits
.

2020 House Race Ratings
.

About me:
I was named "best dressed" in 7th grade. That, along with being CNN's editor at large and author of the daily "Point" newsletter are my proudest achievements. Look for me here every Tuesday and Thursday to find out what’s really going down in politics.

CREDITS
Writer: Chris Cillizza
The Point team: Leigh Munsil and Allison Gordon
Editor: Steven Sevilla
Producer: Arielle Sacks

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70 comments

    1. @Michigan Wolverine Didnt get our asses handed to us during mid terms basement dwelling loser keep whining. 😂😂

    2. @HemiHead664 CNN = Gannett Yahoo = Gannett….see how that works 😆. I bet you NEVER heard of Gannett. What next Snopes, Correct the record? Look into Gannett they supply the daily script at 4am. for ALL MEDIA. They ALL have the repeated BS. Do you even know what a real investigative reporter is? They aren’t Gannett. Corporate news is owned news, not free or investigative.

  1. Elections are important in a Constitutional Republic… That’s what the United States of America is!

    @scoldsore On Twitter
    Current Location : Miami, FL – Earth

    1. Nope. Elections are important in a Democracy. In a “Constitutional Republic” elections are a distraction. People who receive fewer votes can still win, so elections aren’t that important. In this particular Constitutional Republic the wants of a very few select get what they want regardless of the needs or desires of the great mass of citizens. That’s why we need revolution, not our version of elections.

    2. @Christopher Wise and under a Democracy, the bigger cities will dictate the fate and rules for smaller towns and communities. States of California and New York are beautiful examples of this. High Taxes, but only to raise the politicians paychecks while the cities become more and more like Detroit and Cleveland. Depressing crappy cities.

    3. Masculine republics give way to feminine democracies, and feminine democracies give way to tyranny.

      Aristotle

    1. Kent Pull trumps tax reform= socialism but when dems ask for health care its not ok😂🤣 can you see it now

    2. @Darran Kern Your lack of any intellectual contribution or thought are not our issues. Verifiable data shows the Democrats Coronavirus Socialist Socialism🇨🇳 are responsible for killing men, women and children worldwide, NOT TRUMP OR OUR FREE MARKET CAPITALISM IN OUR REPUBLIC. Tack a wack at Bill Clinton’s NAFTA and Obama’s failed trade policies, huge personal and corporate tax increases, huge debt producing inefficient Federal Government growth all destroying thousands of revenue producing free market jobs and businesses in USA. Shame on the Democrats racist bigotry of double standards. Book in progress! Thank you for your data!

  2. Another fact – whenever the democrats have won the house in a general election, they’ve also won the presidency too! Especially in the last 30 years.

    What I mean by that is… Democrats can only win the house if they are ahead by 6% votes (because of the gerrymandering) and by default that means they’ve won the presidency

    1. So when will we talk about Chelsea Clinton who made 9 million on the a corporate board while her mother HILLARY WAS STILL SECRETARY OF STATE? Apparently Democrats love hypocrisy. They pretend they are for the poor while living off their parents achievements… Democrats are too stupid to think that we don’t notice this when they tell us about the “poor and middle class” and blaming Trump and his kids for their successes. WHEN WILL YOU STOP PRETENDING?

    1. @Turd Ferguson you might actually. Some could be your doctor, cashier, even a few neighbors. You never know. The illusion that Trump supporters are in the words of Hillary, “deplorables” are stereotypes. If it was about race however, pretty sure you’d riot.

    2. @Honotenshi Avila yeah I am prepared for this crisis. I’ve been prepping and social distancing for years. My doctor isn’t stupid enough to go to one of those rallies. Anyone who would go to an event where the main attraction is a moronic politician is not someone who would ever be in my small circle of acquaintances. They think daddy trump is gonna save them from immigrants and democrats. They worship the government they claim to despise. Weirdos.

  3. It will be gone by April -Donald J Trump
    It will be gone by July or August – Donald J Trump
    Still got 9 months to shoot for later!

    1. Trump is like The Village Idiot claiming the virus was not spreading saying it was a Democrat hoax then 2 weeks later declaring a National Emergency because it spread.😆

    1. yeah stopping travel from china over 6 weeks ago when the liberals were saying the President was racist was a terrible thing, should have let all the Chinese come over to your house….would be one less virtue signalling snowflake social justice keyboard warrior commenting on things they don’t understand nor comprehend.

    2. @Gavin Beard 59 million Americans contracted the H1N1 virus, 265,000 were hospitalized as a result (0.4% of the estimated total number of people who contracted it), and 12,000 died (0.02%)

      In Italy at the moment it’s 31,506 cases, 2,503 deaths and 2,941 recovered. So imagine if Covid-19 get as widespread as H1N1. It’s a different ball game.

    3. Awesome computers common sense should have calmed you down. You shouldn’t be listening to the media and taking them so seriously.

    1. Russia Russia Russia😂😂😂 Hilarious🤦🏼‍♂️ You must watch a lot of CNN 🤦🏼‍♂️🤦🏼‍♂️🤦🏼‍♂️

    2. @Mueller Ruski i worked USA MI + several degrees, #RANGER #MARINES, ++, you know. don’t be sour, be aware: #MANAFORTcohenFLYNNstoneASSANGE13RUSSIANAGENTS12russiannationals3RUSSIANCORPORATIONSvanderzwanDEUTSCHEBANKpapadapolousPUTINTROLLOPERATIONoneNRArussianSPY+++ YA’ DOPE, GET RIGHT OR STFU. #FAKEtrumpf17kLIES, WOW, YER’ JUST SLOW? GROW UP AND GROW A PAIR, MAN.

    3. @Mueller Ruski I TRUST THE FBI AND CIA A DAMN SIGHT MORE THAN I TRUST YOU AND THE “APPRENTICE,” LOL, #BONESPURSofDRUMPFgermanEXILED lol, man, lol.

  4. Trumperville: Mostly folks who hide in tiny little boxes and throw rocks at everything that doesn’t fit in there with them.

    1. @Darran Kern lol… not one Trump worshipper in 3 yrs has tried to convince me that Trump is worthy of my vote… just insults and ignorance…. so, thanks for sticking to the party line…. you are part of Trump’s largest demographic (sound it out), uneducated white males…. fyi, I didnt support Obama or Hillary but you backed an incompetent, lying, fraud that lost the popular vote by 3 million because everyone knows he is a fraud. So what’s your excuse?

    2. Joy Phillips
      So when will we talk about Chelsea Clinton who made 9 million on the a corporate board while her mother HILLARY WAS STILL SECRETARY OF STATE? Apparently Democrats love hypocrisy. They pretend they are for the poor while living off their parents achievements… Democrats are too stupid to think that we don’t notice this when they tell us about the “poor and middle class” and blaming Trump and his kids for their successes. WHEN WILL YOU STOP PRETENDING?

    3. Ummm. Pretty sure that’s you people. You guys can’t even accept different opinions. There’s a reason Democrats and followers are running memes

    1. @Theodore Beaudoin then again, Jordan didn’t get caught naked with meth and a male hooker. On Police body cam. Lol.

    2. @globalswitch17 …tRump does, so what’s your point? 45 still looks bad next to anyone. Gillum’s actions didn’t improve trump’s image or performance.

  5. When is CNN going to release the video where it SHOWS Joe Biden talking about how he wants to cut medicare/Medicaid (and him saying in that very same video how hes tried multiple times to do so!)..

    When? When they are going to show the truth?

    1. All you trump supporters can do now is grasp at straws. Biden is not President trump is and that is what the nation is concerned with.

  6. Hey, CNN what happened to your most beloved contributor and commentator, Andrew Gillum?! No news? HOW COME?!

    1. What’s your point? tRump is still lying, corrupt, and incompetent. Gillum is not in charge of the country, tRump is supposed to be. If tRump could become president paying porn stars, anything is possible.

  7. Totally sane” Joe’s reaction on January 31st one day AFTER Trump imposed a travel ban on China…”Now is not the time for fear mongering and Xenophobia”

    Translation: He would NOT have stopped the flights from China.

    On Feb 7th CNN stated that the travel ban on China would backfire and hurt us

    other Democrats called Trump a rayciss for the travel ban

    Morale of the story is if Democrats were in charge our infection rate would be higher and we would have lost valuable time. all in the name of Political correctness.

    And after all of this you think the Democrats are going to keep the House? Democrats are the China party just ask Joe & friends, Democrats will be crushed in Nov.!

    1. Josey Wales it’s the only thing that has worked in his favor. That tells me he just got lucky. The travel ban was his way of dissing China. Nothing more than that.

  8. Not when you know the cost of everything but, the value of nothing. The placing the stock market ( which will recover ) ahead of people, will come back to haunt the GOP for a very long time.

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