Steve Kornacki takes a look at what the polls said before the debate and how close Mayor Pete Buttigieg is polling in Iowa, relative to the frontrunners. Aired on 10/15/19.
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In Iowa, Pete Buttigieg Polling Within 7 Points Of Frontrunner | MSNBC
May the best person win. I’ll be voting for whomever is NOT Donald Trump.
lol
Trump 2020- cant have a f@ggot in white house
@Joe Lesiak That is the reason that most Americans wont vote for Trump, the bigotry, hatred and division. Trump supporters like you are very narrow minded and ignorant.
@WaterLily Agreed.
I hope Bernie voters who are responsible for electing Trump (by not voting, or even worse voting for trump) will have a change of heart and agree with you to vote blue no matter who.)
Bernie steals the debate stage and AOC endorses him tonight so MSNBC is in full blown bash Bernie mode lmao !!! #Bernie2020
Bashing? Someone’s been smoking what Dumbo smokes.
AOC baking won’t help him expend his base, it will solidified his support not more than that, Pete has a lot more room to grow than Sanders; Bernie’s supporters don’t realise the difference between increase of antousiasm among the base and increasing support
I was for Warren before that debate now I am al the way for Pete
If Bernie Sanders was Polling at 14%, I wonder what the Title would say? #Bernie2020
Bernie has been polling around here in Iowa for awhile, so it’s not news.
They are really showing their bias when it comes to this stuff, and it’s depressing. In many ways, they are just as bad as Fox.
Democrats are scum of the earth vote red and trump
Pete Buttigieg is young, smart & charismatic. He has served in the Military & owned the debate from what I witnessed.
😂 he got owned by Tulsi
@Silva Surfa Just the reverse.
Cool, what does a bunch of adjectives do to help our country.
@Fanta Black If you don’t understand his very clear English there are numerous schools and courses you can take–some of them even free–that would help you overcome your disability.
I swear he wore that exact same suit in 2016
Agree with Mayor Pete Buttigieg. He is our hope to unite Americans in 2020. 🇺🇸
Mayor Pete is the intellectual, spiritual, war veteran who has respect for others.
He is a great leader & will be an amazing President to Make America Respectful Internationally Again
Vote for Mayor Pete Nov 2020. He can unite all Americans who respect each other.🇺🇸
hes not. he has virtually zero african american support.
He’s actually just another flavor of fraud and inexperience.
Bozo the clown is better than trump
Go pete go
IS THERE A MANIFESTO FOR THE PARTY DEMOCRATIC OR CONSERVATIVE WHICH A CANDIDATE HAS TO PROMOTE AND DEFEND?
Yes, but party platforms are not set until next summer when the Democrats and Republicans hold their nominating conventions.
@RD M THANK U 4REPLY
Lucky Americans, you have a lot of good candidates to choose from. Contrast that to the bunch of self serving ####holes with have this side of the pond!
uggh, you want them?
We are not so lucky that we have Donald Trump, the most corrupt president in history.
@GeorgeatMIA if you take Boris and Jeremy
@WaterLily Well no , that is true. Although, he’s not technically a candidate
Pete has a fantastic and I’am telling you he is the dark horse in this race he isn’t going anywhere but up! Barack Obama was in just about the same place where Pete is now! Pete 2020!
Whoever the media wants, just look at the unequal time given to the chosen ones during the “debate” !!!
Buttigieg 2020! 🌟
Go #PeteButtigieg you can #WinTheEra and #ChangeTheChannel
I loved that you got more feisty yesterday. I love your calming demeanor a lot, but sometimes you gotta be more strong: well done 👍🏻 💙
I knew Pete had a chance to win Iowa when he finished second behind Biden in that unscientific but popular Iowa corn kernel poll at the Iowa State Fair. Now that Biden is slipping he is primed to take over the role as the most sensible, realistic and capable of all of the current crop of candidates. I supported Bernie is 2016 but I’m a Bernie-to-Pete voter this time around.
That’s a strange move, Pete and Bernie have quite different policies. I could understand a move to warren or yang from Bernie.
@Andrew This article from Time yesterday will help you understand:
Laura Hubka remembers experiencing a political conversion the first time she heard Bernie Sanders speak. “I just fell in love with him,” says the chair of the Howard County Democrats, remembering the 2015 speech. “I thought we needed someone to be a champion.” Hubka spent the rest of the cycle knocking on doors for Sanders, introducing him at events, and ultimately becoming a caucus chair for him in Iowa in 2016.
Four years later, Sanders is running for President again—but Hubka isn’t with him. Instead, she’s endorsed South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg.
“People have asked me, ‘are you just giving up on your ideological position to vote for Pete?’ No,” she says. She supported Sanders last time, she explains, partly because she opposed the Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton, and partly because of the unique political moment in 2016. This time around, with President Donald Trump presiding over a scandal-plagued White House and an impeachment inquiry raging on Capitol Hill, Hubka’s priorities are different. “I think we need some calm in the nation,” she says.
Hubka, it turns out, is not alone. Even before the Senator’s heart attack rocked his campaign in early October, a large chunk of his 2016 supporters were already shopping for another candidate. According to the left-leaning think tank Data for Progress’s analysis of a YouGov poll, shared exclusively with TIME, only 65% of people who voted for Sanders in 2016 were considering voting for him again in 2020; 81% said they were considering voting for Warren. When asked to pick just one candidate, only about a quarter of the voters who backed Sanders in 2016 said they’d definitely vote for him again; 42% picked Warren.
While conventional political wisdom suggests that the top-tier 2020 Democrats are divided into lanes. many are like Hubka: making their decisions based on a combination of policy, personality, instinct, and a sense of what the nation needs at this moment—rather than pure ideology.
Anna Greenberg, a Democratic pollster. says “There’s a lot of things driving vote choice, but it’s not an ideological litmus test. There is some narrow slice of the electorate that do feel that way, but it’s narrow.”
According to Data for Progress, 27% of the voters who chose Sanders in 2016 are now considering Kamala Harris and 32% are considering Joe Biden. A surprising 35% are considering South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg. According to a Des Moines Register poll released in late September, 12% of 2016 Sanders voters in Iowa plan to caucus for Buttigieg this time around.
In Iowa, Buttigieg events are full of people who caucused for Bernie Sanders in 2016, and his appeal appears to be widespread. A week before Sanders’s heart attack, both candidates held campaign events in Dubuque: Sanders drew about 200 people; Buttigieg drew roughly four times that.
“What I like about Pete is he has the values, but he’s not as combative,” says Shannon Schott, a 25-year-old nonprofit program director. Both she and her husband Gabe, a 28-year-old band teacher, caucused for Sanders in 2016 but plan to show up for Buttigieg in 2020. Elizabeth Hendrix, 62, who works in customer service, also caucused for Sanders in 2016 and plans to support Buttigieg next year. “Bernie’s four years older now—it’s time to get some of these old people out of there,” she says. “Personality is a huge part of it,” she continued. “Bernie seems so angry all the time. Pete is positive and he feels like he’s a force for good.”
Brenda Masters, a 50-year-old project manager, caucused for Sanders in 2016 but has come to the Iowa Falls event in a golden Buttigieg campaign T-shirt and carrying a massive cutout of the South Bend mayor’s face. “Between Bernie and Hillary I caucused for Bernie, but I don’t think what he’s representing is a realistic path forward,” she says. “I don’t know where he hides his magic wand and it makes me nervous.”
The number of Sanders defectors may be increasing. The YouGov poll, which surveyed nearly 1300 likely primary voters, and had a margin of error of 3.5%, was taken from Sept 23-Oct 4—before the details of the Senator’s Oct 1 heart attack were widely known. In the weeks since Sanders has dipped in the polls in early states.
It’s impossible to measure exactly how Trump’s presidency has changed the political calculus for 2016 Sanders voters going into 2020. Polls consistently show that Democrats are prioritizing candidates who they believe can win in a general election against Trump, and many say they are looking for someone who can unify a deeply partisan electorate. For voters like Hubka, temperament and electability are more important than ideology. While she knows she’s more progressive than Buttigieg, she says she’s willing to sacrifice that ideological purity for a Democrat in the White House. “There’s something there that makes me feel like [Buttigieg] is so much more electable, even though my heart of hearts is more left than him.”
How many people actually vote in those polls?
I don’t trust them.
Andrew Yang 2020!
Go Pete!!! 🇺🇸🏳️🌈
So no mention of Warren’s National Lead Hmmm, interesting it’s almost like MSNBC is supporting Joe Biden
Go Pete!!!!! He’s the perfect candidate to heal this divided nation.
Cant have a peter puffer in white house
ROFL Buttigieg is a non factor and you know it