Ex-CIA chief predicts Chinese President’s next moves after Pelosi’s Taiwan trip

Ret. Gen. David Petraeus, the former director of the Central Intelligence Agency, tells CNN's John Avlon why Chinese President Xi Jinping may try to avoid conflict with the US and Taiwan following US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to the democratic, self-governing island. #CNN #News

69 comments

  1. “Targeted Military Operations.”
    Is what Chinese state media is calling it. Quite a bit more firm in tone than calling it an exercise. Much like how the Russian Federation was performing an ‘exercise’ prior to its invasion the Ukraine.

    1. @Don Blanchard The trip doesn’t help stabilize the regional peace or improve the US China relations. It may give Pelosi a good bragging point in her memoir or help Democrats get a little more votes in the short term at best.

    2. Except Taiwan has been part of China for centuries, though ruled by a different administration. UN and USA and almost all countries in the world adhered to this one China policy so if China takes Taiwan, it is civil war, not similar to the Ukraine situation.

  2. It’s when things are difficult that it’s most important to affirm ones character against bullies. As long as they continue to play “I’m not touching you” our character is recognized. It’s when they start thinking they can put hands on someone because the eyes of ethics are blind to actions that we will see that escalation. It is all very dangerous right now.

    1. @Book of the Wars of the Lord Thanks for the history lesson. What I said was the US has had a longer relationship with Taiwan than communist China. If Taiwan wants to reunite, that’s their right. So is their right to stay a free state. Of course we acted in our own interest when the soviets put nukes on Cuba, I’d hardly call Pelosi a nuke. I believe in my moral position, or the US does? So it’s not up to Taiwan what happens to Taiwan? Why, because their neighbor is stronger? So, being such a student of history, what happens when nations bow to the threats of other nations without action or reaction? Does 2014 Ukraine ring a bell? That’s what starts wars, and stupid stunts like a childish tantrum shooting missiles everywhere during an election year. I never said Russia is collapsing, I was speaking about the sanctions which are doing their job. Russia and China want a new world order they can control, the world will end before that can happen.

    2. @Anthrobug No one blames u bc we (US) only have existed for less than 300 years . China has liven for 5000 years.

  3. “Targeted Military Operations.”
    “Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak.” – Sun Tzu

    1. @J. Dunlop Total inexperience at amphibious warfare and at fighting a naval battle of any kind should also concern the smart ones.

    1. But y’all are TORN APART. BUSY FIGHTING EACH Other AND SOWING SEEDS OF HATE. U WILL FAIL. NOW WAKE UP NOW BEFORE ITS TOO LATE.

    2. @Starri X Truth hurts ,but it’s Lie that kills . WAKE UP ,think for yourself ,don’t let them think for you .

    1. @Cheveux Jaunes
      Both of them were badasses really. I’d most likely cheer for the local boy as well if I were French.

  4. The one thing I have learnt about old people with power is that they are dangerous, in general.

    1. @Keith Morgan I may have been a bit harsh on my previous comment. Apologies for that. The point I’m making though is that there are enough examples of old people with power instigating and or engaging in dangerous behaviors.

    2. @Victor Mkhaliphi There are, I guess it’s partly a function of the years it takes to reach a senior position especially in politics. And there’s been a real problem in US politics with politicians past their use by date, Biden, Trump, Pelosi and McConnell are good examples. Here in Australia our politicians tend to jump ship at a normal retirement age, 60-65, and I think that’s pretty healthy.

  5. What ” next move” for Chinese President Xi Jinping did Gen. David Petraeus mention in this video? I heard him say that the current exercises may continue for some time but not anything directly tying in to the video title “Ex-CIA chief predicts Chinese President’s next moves after Pelosi’s Taiwan trip”.

    1. @Geàrr Azkarra Ysgyfarnogod and by the way i dont think the chinese military is invincible, but they have a huge advantage in the pacific region vs the u.s. this was my highlighted point. if there was a war in the Atlantic with china then china would lose a conventional war in weeks, maybe days. china does have projects all over the world though, many under the auspice of “building infrastructure for developing nations”, however they seize the infrastructure if nations dont pay them their debt as its laid out and then they can militarize the infrastructure to use as a proto-base. so, these projects serve dual purpose: infrastructure for trading partners, with potential for militarization. its happening in africa and many parts of asia and could be happening soon in latin america. this would give them more strength in the Atlantic. russia could only dream of having the influence and resources to undertake these global initiatives…

    2. @Some more time, it’s hard to clearly understand exactly what you just attempted to say… a blockade will certainly be ugly for Taiwan, but it wont necessarily be the immediate end because cargo planes can still fly in from the direction of japan. if a blockage drags on then i dont know if the situation can be stabilized in the long term. certainly significantly less goods, including food, will enter and exit the country if only cargo planes can make it through. perhaps, you know about the history of the “berlin airlifts”. this is basically how Taiwan will survive in the event of a naval quarantine.

  6. Seems like the “training exercise” could’ve been a great excuse to position a blockade that would have otherwise been viewed as aggression

    1. @N.C.T China manufactures chips for Apple phones and “smart” home appliances. In other words simple chips. Complex chips not so much. The global semiconductor industry is dominated by companies from the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan and the Netherlands (Wikipedia).
      China is throwing a tantrum right now and could certainly make life miserable for the Taiwanese but invading Taiwan would probably slide Russia into second place as one of the worst military decisions (globally) in the last 70 years.

    2. @Alex for Apple main SoCs, only Korea and Taiwan can make them so far (below 14nM which even the US can’t) although China just came out with a 7nM chip. China does not need anyone to make chips of 14nM and above, which are the chips used in vast majority of devices including in cars, home appliances and weapons. The US has sanctioned China and stopped anyone supplying China with tech to make chips of 14nm and below. It’s been several years already and slowly but surely, China is making lower and lower nM chips on its own (hence the 7nM recently)

  7. Chinese govt said “History has proven time and again that sanctions cannot solve problems” when speaking about Ukraine, but then goes ahead and puts sanctions on Taiwan!

    1. @xue lee does New York have its own president? Own army? Own currency? Own laws and politics? Just because most Taiwanese people have Chinese heritage and speaks Mandarin does not mean Taiwan should belong to China. Just like Americans don’t belong to the European countries who first discovered it. Australia, England, New Zealand doesn’t belong to America either just because they speak English and has a similar heritage if you go back far enough into the past.

  8. Investing in China and its cheap labor for the last 30 years has definitely paid off, hasn’t it, rich people? It paid off handsomely, didn’t it, rich people?

    1. @JL They sold out their own people for 30 pieces of silver, and the world will be worse for it. It’s disgraceful. Jealousy has nothing to do with it.

    2. @Matt Donna Absolutely did. I’m a advocate for bringing manufacturing back to the USA in all it’s glory! Domestic built anything is better than Chinese.

  9. asking the secret services of any form or nation to reveal the truth would be paradoxical naivety

    1. It isn’t ageist, these are high pressure, demanding jobs with serious implications. After caring for elderly, 70+ year olds and spending time in their community, I don’t believe that adults in that age group need to be filling those positions. They are not as capable as they once were. It’s not ageist. We should listen to elders advise and have younger ones leading the country execute on their ideas and input.

    2. @Velocity Forwarding Inc. Saying “they” are not as capable as they once were is stereotyping thus ageist. All people are individuals and unique. Only one-third of people over 85 have any signs of dementia. Doctors say I am 15 years younger than my chronological age. Only health matters, not age. Every person should be assigned a physiological age determined by medical professionals.

    3. @Health Quest You can’t tell me that its ageist. Its factual. Its too demanding for people in that age group to perform day in and day out with the pressure it entails. I am not saying disregard them. I am not saying they are worthless. That job is too demanding for geriatrics.

  10. “US visits and US meetings… these are instruments of power”
    Precisely! Thank you Ms Sanner!

    This is not child’s play. And certainly should not be a self-serving tool used by any individual.

  11. What’s amazing is that these old folks are really not making the world a better place for future generations.

    1. Lucky U well said just grate perfectly said many old folks not setting the stage for betterment for the next generation no plans

  12. “China’s final warning” (Russian: Последнее китайское предупреждение) is a Russian proverb that originated in the former Soviet Union, to refer to a warning that carries no real consequences.

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